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5

Flash Girl

3yo Filly · 8-11

Saint-Cloud · Prix De Villaroche Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 22/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12822/10C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 14/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 12814/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1284/02C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12423/05C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12413/06C5C0 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1237/07C?2 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13023/082projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Deauville21st1st0
2026-07-07Chantilly?4th4th0
2026-06-13Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0
2026-05-23Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-02-04Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0
2026-01-14Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1023/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20252nd28/10%89%+0.89
14/01/20267th11/893%40%-0.53
04/02/20269th2/189%27%-0.62
23/05/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
13/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
07/07/20264th20/10%79%+0.79
23/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29