IvyArcIvyArc
7

Palm Springs

3yo Filly · 8-8

Saint-Cloud · Prix De Villaroche Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 14/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12514/08C5C5 @ Chantilly 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12825/09C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12816/10C5C5 @ Chantilly 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12825/02C52 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12515/062C1 @ La Teste De Buch 19/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12519/08C1C0 @ ParisLongchamp 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1283/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd0
2026-08-19La Teste De Buch?8th8th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat24th4th0
2026-02-25Chantilly?2nd2nd0
2025-10-16Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2025-09-25Chantilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0825/023/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/202510th9/276%36%-0.41
25/09/20253rd8/158%80%+0.22
16/10/20253rd5/174%67%-0.07
25/02/20262nd5/287%92%+0.05
15/06/20264th4/179%50%-0.29
19/08/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
03/09/20263rd25/10%87%+0.87