6
Proxima Du Centaur
3yo Filly · 8-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Caracalla Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |