5
Rubia Queen
3yo Filly · 8-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Caracalla Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -20.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 24/03/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |