7

Ametis Chope
2yo Filly · 8-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Trois Roses D'argent Stakes · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -39.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |