IvyArcIvyArc
6

Shibuya

2yo Filly · 8-10

Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Trois Roses D'argent Stakes · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12018/07C5C5 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12415/08C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12414/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Salon-De-Provence?1st4th−3
2026-08-15Deauville?3rd6th−3
2026-07-18Dieppe?8th11th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0715/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -16.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20268th33/10%42%+0.42
15/08/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
14/09/20261st13/891%100%+0.09