IvyArcIvyArc
7

Incredible

2yo Filly · 8-13

Saint-Cloud · Prix Thebais Handicap · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 24/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f104y Hvy 12424/03C53 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Gd 12114/043C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12421/08C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1242/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-04-14Chantilly36th6th0
2026-03-24Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0314/0421/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength99%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/03/20263rd28/10%71%+0.71
14/04/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
21/08/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
02/09/20264th16/116%57%+0.41