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4

Kassab

2yo Colt · 9-2

Saint-Cloud · Prix Thebais Handicap · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1281/05C53 @ Cholet 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f156y Sft 1241/0633 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12412/0633 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12428/063C1 @ Vichy 22/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12822/07C1C5 @ Vittel 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12811/08C5C0 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f100y GS 12925/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-11Vittel?3rd3rd0
2026-07-22Vichy?9th9th0
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud36th6th0
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud33rd3rd0
2026-06-01Cholet33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0528/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength58%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
01/06/20263rd13/266%82%+0.16
12/06/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
28/06/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
22/07/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
11/08/20263rd11/1094%60%-0.34
25/08/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72