6

Magiel
2yo Filly · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Thebais Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -10.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |