8

Piccolo Angelo
2yo Gelding · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Thebais Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |