11
Charles Legend
10yo Gelding · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'oise Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2025-11-10 | Amiens | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 10/11/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 10/06/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |