13
Eclair De Vati
8yo Gelding · 8-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'oise Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.20 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.08 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |