12
Gold Curtain
6yo Mare · 8-12
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'oise Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#16
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-15 | Evreux | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-04-09 | Argentan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-06-29 | Dieppe | ? | −5 | ||
| 2024-05-27 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 13th | −5 |
| 2024-05-13 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 7th | −5 |
| 2024-04-23 | Compiegne | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2023 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/12/2023 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/02/2024 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/03/2024 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/03/2024 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 13/05/2024 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 27/05/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 09/04/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/04/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |