10
Zelina
6yo Mare · 9-1
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'oise Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |
| 06/11/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 11/03/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 31/03/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |