12
Hamilton Desjy
7yo Gelding · 8-8
Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Yvelines Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 77% | -0.06 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/03/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 21% | -0.34 |
| 13/03/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 02/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |