6

Honguemare
7yo Mare · 9-1
Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Yvelines Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#14
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 28/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 8% | -0.63 |