15
La Javanaise
9yo Mare · 8-2
Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Yvelines Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6878
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6888.1 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6881.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -6878.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 4th | 41271th | −34389 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Deauville | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 01/11/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 10/11/2025 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/12/2025 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 06/08/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 7% | -0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |