14
Le Gardolot
8yo Gelding · 8-4
Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Yvelines Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Evreux | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 22/12/2025 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/01/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 15/04/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 15% | -0.11 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |