5
Lettyt Fight
9yo Gelding · 9-1
Saint-Cloud · Prix Des Yvelines Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 08/01/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/04/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |