6
Act Of Wisdom
8yo Gelding · 9-3
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'or Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength68%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-12 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/02/2024 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/10/2024 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/11/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 12/12/2024 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 31/01/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/04/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |