13
Briona
5yo Filly · 8-12
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'or Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/12/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |