1
Ferdinand Premier
4yo Gelding · 10-2
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'or Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-02 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength22%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 14th | 4/1 | 79% | 7% | -0.72 |
| 07/11/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |