4
Tamyz
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'or Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 19/05/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 06/09/2026 | 15th | 2/1 | 89% | 7% | -0.83 |