14
Tic Tac
5yo Gelding · 8-12
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Val D'or Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/01/2026 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 06/02/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |
| 07/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |