1
Cotai Hero
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Salon-De-Provence · Prix De La Cote Bleue Handicap · 1m 208y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Marseille | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2024 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 25/11/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/01/2025 | 14th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 25/02/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 20/01/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |
| 15/02/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |