10
Illois
8yo Gelding · 8-5
Salon-De-Provence · Prix De La Cote Bleue Handicap · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Marseille | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 09/07/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 16/12/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |