Moudir
10yo Gelding · 8-11
Salon-De-Provence · Prix De La Cote Bleue Handicap · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 13/06/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 26/08/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 09/09/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 24/11/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |