10
Idaho James
8yo Horse · 8-8
Salon-De-Provence · Prix Emile Ribal Handicap · 1m 208y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 10% | -0.69 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |