2
Pearl Spirit
4yo Filly · 9-4
Salon-De-Provence · Prix Emile Ribal Handicap · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |