3
Wickbury
4yo Filly · 9-2
Salon-De-Provence · Prix Emile Ribal Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |