5
Dissemble
3yo Filly · 8-11
Salon-De-Provence · Prix Des Societaires Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -17.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 73% | -0.21 |