2
Literary Song
2yo Gelding · 8-13
Salon-De-Provence · Prix All Is Vanity Stakes · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength94%
Delivery trend -15.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |