IvyArcIvyArc
1

Graswang

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Salon-De-Provence · Prix De Miramas Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Salon-De-Provence 13/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12813/09C5C5 @ Pau 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12822/10C5C5 @ Pau 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12813/11C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1287/12C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Hvy 12817/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12811/02C5C5 @ Marseille-borely 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 12818/03C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-18Marseille-borely?4th4th0
2026-02-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-01-17Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2025-12-07Lyon La Soie?5th5th0
2025-11-13Pau?2nd2nd0
2025-10-22Pau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/097/1218/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03
22/10/20254th6/594%67%-0.27
13/11/20252nd5/287%91%+0.04
07/12/20255th9/488%60%-0.28
17/01/20263rd11/486%86%+0.00
11/02/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
18/03/20264th4/797%63%-0.34