4
Leia Organa
3yo Filly · 8-12
Salon-De-Provence · Prix De Miramas Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 1/1 | 95% | 29% | -0.66 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |