1
Grape Juice Too
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |