Sissy Girl

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 81

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

61%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-04	Del Mar	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-08-01	Del Mar	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2026-06-14	Santa Anita	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength11%

Delivery trend -31.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/06/2026	2nd	9/1	53%	90%	+0.37
01/08/2026	8th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
04/09/2026	9th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26