5
Buds N Suds
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |