3

Giant Kid

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 94

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Pleasanton 15/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2024 · OR 82 par15/06C7OR 82C5 @ Pleasanton 29/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2024 · OR 84 parC6 @ Del Mar 25/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 91 · 5f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2024 · OR 91 par25/07C6OR 91C6 @ Del Mar 16/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2024 · OR 90 parC6 @ Del Mar 05/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 91 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2024 · OR 91 par5/09C6OR 91C5 @ Fresno 06/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/10/2024 · OR 84 parC5 @ Golden State Racing 09/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/11/2024 · OR 87 par9/11C5OR 87C8 @ Del Mar 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 99 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 99 parC8 @ Del Mar 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 97 par30/08C8OR 97projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-08-01Del Mar?5th5th0
2024-11-09Golden State Racing?6th3rd+3
2024-10-06Fresno?5th2nd+3
2024-09-05Del Mar?3rd1st+2
2024-08-16Del Mar?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0616/089/1130/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20241st11/486%100%+0.14
29/06/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
25/07/20247th12/137%25%-0.12
16/08/20246th25/10%29%+0.29
05/09/20243rd20/10%78%+0.78
06/10/20245th3/184%20%-0.64
09/11/20246th14/126%29%+0.02
01/08/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
30/08/20265th20/10%50%+0.50