2
Miz Clubcali
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 93
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |