Born To Rock
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 8 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-30 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-09-08 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 2nd | +8 |
| 2025-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 08/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |