
Mighty Toro
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 98
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +15.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |