6

Mighty Toro

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 98

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 13/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS13/10C6C6 @ Del Mar 30/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 88 par30/10C6OR 88C6 @ Del Mar 19/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 93 par19/07C6OR 93C9 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 98 par22/08C9OR 98projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-07-19Del Mar?6th3rd+3
2025-10-30Del Mar?7th4th+3
2025-10-13Santa Anita?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1030/1019/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20256th5/174%50%-0.24
30/10/20257th14/126%14%-0.12
19/07/20266th33/10%50%+0.50
22/08/20262nd7/282%90%+0.08