Simple Majority
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 60
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |