Caro Buono
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 107
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |