Iriseach
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 108
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |