Bako Country

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 67

Santa Anita · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-23	Del Mar	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-07-25	Del Mar	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-16	Santa Anita	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-04-19	Santa Anita	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▼

Strength37%

Delivery trend -10.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/04/2026	5th	20/1	0%	50%	+0.50
16/05/2026	7th	13/2	66%	14%	-0.52
25/07/2026	1st	15/2	61%	100%	+0.39
23/08/2026	9th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16