6
Battle School
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 78
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |