7
Desert Kat
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |