2

Harbor Code

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 83

Santa Anita · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 15/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS15/03C6C6 @ Santa Anita 28/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 93 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2025 · OR 93 parC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 29/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 81 par29/06C6OR 81C9 @ Del Mar 01/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 81 parC7 @ Del Mar 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 6f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 84 par23/08C7OR 84C7 @ Santa Anita 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 6f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Santa Anita 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 81 · 6f110y Fm 126 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 81 par15/06C8OR 81C8 @ Del Mar 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Del Mar 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 83 par21/08C8OR 83projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-07-19Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-06-15Santa Anita?4th4th0
2026-05-30Santa Anita?7th6th+1
2025-08-23Del Mar?5th4th+1
2025-08-01Del Mar?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/031/0815/0621/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20256th6/168%38%-0.31
28/04/20258th12/137%30%-0.07
29/06/20257th8/158%0%-0.58
01/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
23/08/20255th20/10%20%+0.20
30/05/20267th20/10%0%0.00
15/06/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
19/07/20265th10/382%60%-0.22
21/08/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04