3
Hardi
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Hadol Du Vivier - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 7
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | 7 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Agen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-01-23 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-01-16 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-01-09 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-07-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2020 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 06/05/2021 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/11/2021 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/07/2023 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/01/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/01/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 23/01/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/05/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |