5
Hobby De L'evre
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Hadol Du Vivier - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 7
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 6 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 7 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |